Forecasting is, at best, an imprecise science. Sitting in the garden this evening the light is soft and beautiful. Summer’s end is hard to accept when corners of the garden are illuminated by the incarnadine glow of geraniums in full flower pushing through a cloud of intensely blue lobelia. The oleander, now a giant, is covered in cream blossom even though the deep green leaves are interspersed with the chrome yellow of the dying which are like the the turned corners of the pages of a book reminding us of our place in the order of things. What would be a perfect blue is marred, or decorated, by the unmistakeable cloud formation known as a “mackerel” sky which, according to old “salts”, can presage the arrival of iffy weather. Or is it “mares’ tails” that serve as a warning of foul weather to come? Computerised weather forecasting seems to be slightly less accurate than holding up a piece of seaweed or rummaging through a chicken’s entrails. To be a weather forecaster must be a sinecure. Being drastically inaccurate in a prediction will, at worst, result in becoming an international “celebrity”. Your job as a forecaster will, amongst other light duties, entail appearing daily on national television, dressed by a vengeful wardrobe mistress in a combination of strangely tight and ill matched clothes, gamely smiling white toothily through orange make-up, rain, shine and hurricane in a way that suggests you’re the offspring of Jack Nicholson, or a lesser demon such as the Devil, whilst pronouncing, in infinite detail, on the weather that we can all expect to endure or enjoy the following day or, with the more imaginative script, the following week. All of this will, of course, be bollocks. A cursory look out of a window the following morning will confirm the fiction. I have thought of keeping a calendar notating the actual weather that happened in comparison to that which was forecast. Unfortunately, if I did this, I would have to shoot myself as it is such an anally retentive nightmare that I now wish I had never mentioned it; but the moving fingers tap, and having tapped tap on…..
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Roger, your summation on the uselessness of weather forecasters is one one shared by my wife and I. It must be great to receive a pile of money and not be accountable to anyone for your “work!” Wonderful picture on this post, we are looking forward to autumn here in the US and a long-awaited break from the heat of summer. Regards, Richard
I’m looking forward to getting some good Autumn pictures in the nearby forest, but I won’t be relying on the weather forecast:)
Gorgeous photo! It’s been so dry here that a lot of trees have already dropped their leaves. No fall foliage for us, which isn’t unusual actually. The foliage bit, not the drought.
It must be so tough for farmers in your area. Come to think of it, it must be damn tough for you as well:)
Food prices are going to jump and are already rising. The worst of the heat is over at least.
Food prices are continually jumping, yet when I talk to my farming neighbours the price that they are receiving for their milk or beef is going down and down. I think the supermarkets will have a lot to answer for.They have changed society’s eating habits for the worse and brought about an unreal expectation and demand for an endless variety of cheap food.
That reminds me that several years back we had a weather forecaster in our area that everyone called “Lying Leon”. The name fit…
What a gorgeous photo of the fall foliage and river. No autumn colors here yet…
I have to be honest – the picture was taken last year.
I could spend the rest of my life in that photo…nothing compares to a perfect fall day.
A perfect day at any time of the year is pretty goodL)
That picture is stunning, Roger. Where is it? Where I am, we don’t get much fall color, leaving me to savor whatever I can get.
This is Le Pont de Deluge in the Foret de Mervent on the edge of which we live. The area is the Southern Vendee near the Atlantic coast of France. The colours are wonderful in the forest in Autumn.
This is perhaps my favorite photo that you’ve yet shared, Roger. It almost makes me forget that its beauty is a precursor to Winter’s arrival. Almost.
I’ve just been looking at pictures of winter storms on Lake Michigan, so I get the “almost”:)
That photo is just stunning
It’s an old bridge over the river Mere in the forest right by us. Every time I go there the picture and the light seem to be completely different.
Now overlay that unto hurricane path forecasts, and you can imagine why some of my friends get anxiety attacks every time a tropical storm shows up in the North Atlantic or Gulf.
What gorgeous colors, and I imagine the ‘air’ going with it is equally fantastic.
Your posts have introduced to me to a completely different way of life in the Keys. I remember seeing lines of cars jamming the highways as they tried to get off the Keys on the news last week. Apparently it wasn’t that bad in the end – they should have held up the eeaweed or rummaged more thoroughly through the entrails to get a correct forecast>)
Loved your commentary Roger…but this photo takes one’s breath away…and then gives it back in great fragrant gulps! Truly, just exquisite! Thank you so much for that!
Thanks for your appreciation, Antoinette:)
That is an amazing image; the water looks so sharp.
And cool and clear:)
And there I was innocently ‘crowing’ about all my wonderful spring growth in the garden and praising the tray after tray of herb & veg seedlings about to be planted! And then you post an maturely autumnal photo beyond compare . . . Oh well, looked up at the sky: both mackerel and having mares’ tails with 90 + km winds forecast for the next three days . . . and know ‘they’ have it right and I kind’of do wish I was in France . . .
I find it so hard getting my head around the Southern Hemisphere opposite season thing. I have to say I wouldn’t mind Spring again, but without the 90km gale:)
I shall grin indulgently the next time the weather comes on, Roger.
Glorious photograph.
You never know, they might just be right:)
The golden – dare I say it, autumnal – colours are so gorgeous here that you’re forgiven for even thinking of keeping a weather record. When we still lived in Wales we once swapped houses with someone in Marseille and one of our duties was to keep up his weather log – it seemed a bit pointless, each day: maximum 36°, minimum 25°, rainfall zero. But then it was July.
I pressed “erase” and I have no such thoughts any more:)
Since I just got back from a trip home to Ireland, I can only join you in bemoaning the uselessness of the weather forecaster. Ireland = 90% chance of some sort of precipitation and yet Irish forecasters still couldn’t be trusted to relate this to you in the form of the daily bulletin.
Spending time in Ireland changes one’s view of reality. I did a shoot there in the 80′s for a Chris de Burgh record cover. I remember taking the film to a lab in Dublin and asking when the film would be ready. The guy behind the desk looked at me as though I had asked him for the secret of the philosopher’s stone and quietly said “And why would you want to know that?”.
Hahaha! Why indeed! Thank God for the digital era
OMG! Simply stunning
Many thanks for that – praise indeed:)
You are very welcome
What a stunning picture Roger! If fall looks like this, welcome fall ..so long hot & dry Summer!
It is beautiful, but I took it a couple of years ago. We’re still waiting for fall, but I shall be there to catch it:)
You are right, your life would effectively be over if you were to begin to chart the forecast against the actual weather.. bloody tempting idea though! And what is it with the outfits!! I do not find pastels calming.. cc
The English forecasters all seem to have a slightly mad gleam in their eye and they talk like speed freaks.They also seem very pleased with themselves which is rarely a good sign:)
Beautiful picture – Play School taught me to favour the round window when the square one has a dissipating outlook
I shall remember that, Mad Dog, next time they try and hoodwink me with a sunny smile and a sunny outlook:)
Brian Cant has a lot to teach the weatherman
I’m still surprised that Brian didn’t change his name:)
^ especially when working in television!
What a Cant:)
^ …sorry, disappointing, not dissipating
I’ll remember not to be fooled by that:)
Oh, gorgeous shot! I will miss the autumn foliage this year, but will console myself with thoughts of sunshine and flowers this winter.
I think you’re onto a good thing:)
lovely photos and as ever, hilariously good writing!
Tnanks for that.Marina
Beautiful photo.
Glad you liked it:)